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INSIGHTS

Everything on this page makes

one argument

Supply chains run better when plans follow what consumers are buying, rather than what customers ordered last year. Here's the thinking behind that claim, the independent research that backs it, and what happened when real businesses acted on it.

WHAT WE BELIEVE

Motion isn't progress

In most of the consumer goods businesses we work with, everything appears to be working. Forecasts get reviewed. Orders get raised. Warehouses ship. But underneath, growth stalls, teams firefight, and leadership keeps solving the same problems on repeat. The machinery is turning without moving the business towards what it promised its customers. That gap between motion and progress is where MET works, and it has shaped 3 beliefs we bring to every client.

Belief 1

Most suppliers trust the wrong data

Forecasting from your own sales history assumes the future will resemble the past. It misses what actually drives demand: customer inventory, replenishment strategy, promotions, and what shoppers are buying off the shelf.

Sales history is your rear-view mirror. Consumer demand is your windscreen.

Belief 2

Perspective beats expertise

You already know your business far better than any consultant will after a month inside it. What we bring is pattern recognition from 25 years of FMCG planning, and an outside lens. The best engagements feel collaborative from the first conversation.

Belief 3

Methodology gives direction.

Technology gives scale.

Spreadsheets can carry a basic version of demand-led planning, but it's labour-intensive and it breaks as you grow. We partnered with Lumina AI because the benefits start compounding when the method runs on software built for it.

“One shows where you've been. The other shows what's coming. The businesses that make the biggest step forward are the ones ready to look through the windscreen.”

What we believe

WHAT THE RESEARCH SAYS

You don't have to take our word for it

Independent researchers have been studying demand-driven planning for years. A short reading list, and why each piece earns its place here.

 SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT REVIEW

UNIVERSITY OF TENESSEE​

Beyond the forecast: rethinking demand-driven planning

Mike Burnette, Global Supply Chain Institute fellow, on why benchmark supply chains are moving away from internally driven planning.

Independent confirmation that the best operators have stopped forecasting from their own history.

 EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL  RESEARCH:  HARTZEL & WOOD

Point-of-sale reporting and forecast accuracy

Peer-reviewed research on the factors that determine whether consumer sales data actually improves forecast accuracy.

The evidence that sell-out data works, and what has to be true for it to work.

MET ON LINKEDIN 

How close is your planning actually getting to the consumer?

A quick self-test. Most planning processes stop at the customer order and never reach the shelf. This post shows you how to work out where yours stops.

What the research says

WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE IN PRACTICE

Case studies

The argument only matters if it survives contact with real businesses, a real buyers and a real cash flow.

Here's how it has held up.

CRAFTIS

A bespoke AI planning engine for demand and supply

How Craftis replaced spreadsheet planning with a demand and supply engine built around their business on the Lumina platform.

HOX GLOBAL

​Rebuilding grocery replenishment with an AI cloud solution

Delivery performance to a top UK grocer rebuilt from 60% to 98%, repairing a broken customer relationship and winning back listings.

HOX GLOBAL

What a fractional supply chain director delivered

The accomplishments of a fractional engagement: senior planning leadership without the full-time overhead, and why more SMEs are choosing this route.

HOX GLOBAL

Planning visibility for faster growth on Amazon

Growing an Amazon business by spotting which new product listings were catching fire, and feeding them stock before the momentum was lost.

HOX GLOBAL

The strategy behind the turnaround

The full HoX Global story: how consumer demand alignment became the operating strategy, and what it returned commercially.

PAPERS & TOOLS

Take the thinking with you

Written for MDs, supply chain and commercial leaders who want the method on paper before they want a conversation.

WHITE PAPER

Consumer demand alignment

Where the method meets the machine

The MET method end to end: how to build a replenishment plan from consumer sales, customer inventory and promotions, and what it releases in stock, cash and service.

PRACTICAL GUIDE

Stock categorisation: goldmine or risk?

A practical way to sort your SKUs by what they're really doing to your cash and your service, so the plan protects the winners and stops feeding the losers.

MET & LUMINA

Where the method meets the machine

MET brings the planning method; Lumina brings the platform that runs it at scale. Together they turn bespoke planning challenges into working engines in 6–8 weeks, built around your business rather than forcing your business around software.

Watch how that plays out.

​Lumina Insights

How Lumina surfaces the demand signals hiding in your consumer sales and customer inventory data.

Lumina Exceeds

Where a bespoke planning engine goes beyond what spreadsheets and standard tools can carry.

Lumina vs ERP

Why an ERP forecasting module keeps you planning from sell-in history, and what a demand-led engine does differently.

Try it yourself

A hands-on, interactive walkthrough of a Lumina planning engine. No sign-up, no sales call attached.

Convinced by the argument? Test it on your own numbers.

A 45-minute discovery call. We'll work out whether your forecasting gap is a process, data or capability problem, and put a number on it. If we can't help, we'll say so.

Prefer email? info@metsupplychainconsulting.com · +44 (0)7887 758630

What it looks like in practice
Papers & Tools
See the engine
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